EXPECTATIONS 2024: GLOBAL ELECTIONS AGENDA

In a series of posts on the expectations for 2024 we have already commented on a number of trends promising to make this a strenuous and frankly, an unnervy year for the faint of heart. Nearly half the global population, expected to hit 8 billion people, will head to the polls at some point over the coming year. At least sixty-four countries, and the European Union will hold elections, with some expected to result in tectonic political shifts. The National Pulse has compiled a comprehensive list of countries expected to hold elections (link) and will be providing further insight as each election grows nearer. Here are the most important. Pro tip: download The National Pulse app. 

  

January 2024 Agenda.

Taiwan
A critical presidential and legislative election will be decided on January 13th, 2024. The current government lead by the liberal Democratic Progressive Party faces insurgent campaigns from the nationalist Kuomintang and the populist Taiwan People’s Party. The outcome could have a significant impact on China’s stance towards Taiwan and the United States. 

Islamic Republic of Iran
Both the Islamic Consultative Assembly and the Assembly of Experts will be up for election on March 1st.

Russian Federation
From March 15th to 17th Russians will head to the polls to vote for the nation’s president. Vladimir Putin, the incumbent president, is expected to win re-election. 

Ukraine
A presidential election is scheduled for March 31st, however the ongoing conflict with Russia and the declared state of martial law may prevent the election from happening. 

India
The worlds largest democracy, with 1.44 billion people, is expected to hold elections for its Lok Sabha (House of the People) – the lower house of the Indian parliament – at some point in April or May of 2024. Political parties comprising the nationalist and populist Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s National Democratic Alliance hold a narrow lead in polls.

Mexico
Presidential and legislative elections will be held on June 2nd. Current President Andrés Manuel López Obrador is term-limited. Claudia Sheinbaum of the left-wing National Regeneration Movement is expected to face-off against Xóchitl Gálvez of the centrist National Action Party.

European Union (EU)
The 27 EU member states, comprising 448 million people, will hold elections for the European Parliament from June 6th to the 9th. 

The United States of America (USA)
Elections for President, the House of Representatives, and the Senate – along with state and local races – will be held on November 5th. Former President Donald Trump, the front-runner for the Republican nomination, appears set for a rematch against the Democrat incumbent President Joe Biden.

The United Kingdom (UK)
A general parliamentary election for the House of Commons is expected to be held at some point in 2024. The general election must be held before 28 January 2025 and Parliament itself is set to be dissolved no later than December 17th, 2024. 

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